Pre-Gaming the New Hampshire Primary
Well folks, the New Hampshire primary looms. I think everyone by now understands that Romney will undoubtedly be the nominee. If Romney somehow doesn’t win big tomorrow, it should be considered a “loss” for him. The latest polls show Romney at about 33-35%, with Paul at 20% and Huntsman at 13%.
What tomorrow is really about is determining how long it will take for Romney to secure the nomination. A long, drawn out primary could be very bad for Romney. If Romney is going to gain any kind of traction in the South, he is going to have to pander to his base. That means he will have to take harsh stances on social issues (gay marriage, abortion etc.) and domestic issues (welfare, medicare/medicaid, social security). If he has to swing right in order to get nominated, it could really hurt him in the general election. It would be almost too easy for President Obama to fend him off. An improving economy wouldn’t help Romney’s case, either.
If I had to have any one of the Republican candidates elected as POTUS, I would have to take Jon Huntsman for reasons that should be fairly obvious (I’m a lefty!). However, I understand that Romney will be the GOP’s main contender come November.
At this point, it still is a toss-up whether President Obama or the GOP nominee (Romney) will edge out a victory. If the economy keeps steadily improving, as it has as of late, President Obama should be able to gain a second term. If not, well, I don’t like to think about that. It certainly is going to be interesting to see how this shapes up. Who knows how much Santorum could influence the GOP race when it reaches the Southern states? I’m looking forward to seeing how this all turns out.
Toodle-oo,
Dylan